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A new study reveals that Iran's behavior in the Strait of Hormuz is heavily linked to domestic governance issues and weak political legitimacy in peripheral regions, especially those with Arab and Baloch majorities. The study clarifies that Iran employs maritime coercion tools, such as military maneuvers and interception of ships, to increase uncertainty in the oil market and raise economic costs, without resorting to a complete closure of the strait. It also emphasizes that internal challenges—including marginalization and administrative weakness—drive Iran to adopt escalation policies aimed at strengthening its internal legitimacy and achieving costly strategic gains. The study recommends addressing internal factors and fostering comprehensive governance to ensure lasting stability in the region, while keeping military options as a mere deterrent.
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