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The analysis reviews the United States' vision for reshaping the regional system in the Middle East by building a network of security and economic partnerships, without formal military alliances, aimed at strengthening allies and weakening non-state armed groups. The Americans are competing with Iran, which seeks to maintain and expand its influence through its allies and armed groups, and with China, which is increasing its presence through investments and infrastructure projects. Meanwhile, Turkey, Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq are likely to play important roles in this new system, with Israel potentially making concessions related to Lebanon and Syria. The success of this project depends on Washington's ability to build networks of relationships rather than relying solely on direct military presence, amid challenges such as Iranian influence, Turkey's independent policies, and China's economic expansion.
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