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Iranian leadership faces a state of uncertainty regarding the status of Supreme Leader Ebrahim Raisi. The deputy foreign minister confirmed that communication with him is currently difficult, despite his continued role in guiding decisions. Meanwhile, Iran expects to reach a provisional understanding with Oman to regulate navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Under this arrangement, ships would pass partially through Iranian and Omani waters for a period ranging from two to four months or more, but the strait would not be fully opened yet. Achieving this understanding depends on Washington fulfilling commitments related to halting military operations and sanctions. Negotiations are still ongoing and require key details regarding control and inspection mechanisms, as the United States has not yet agreed to grant Iran direct authority over navigation. This reflects an attempt to ease Iran's economic and security pressures, but the agreement remains contingent on the final positions of both sides and highlights the coherence of Iran’s decision-making amidst the absence of its top leadership.
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