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An analysis published by the Israeli newspaper “Yedioth Ahronoth” concludes that the United States and Israel are heading toward intensifying a state of “strategic stalemate” on the fronts of Iran, Gaza, and Lebanon, with a likelihood that no major military or political steps will be taken before the upcoming American and Israeli elections. The current U.S. administration, led by Trump, has reduced the level of actions toward Iran while maintaining sanctions and maritime pressure, believing that negotiations will not yield immediate results due to Iran's demanding stance. This freeze is expected to continue even after the November Congress elections, followed by new assessments. Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, Washington shows readiness to continue oil exports through the strait, having reached potential understandings with Iran and Oman, while imposing sanctions on ships paying fees to Iran. Regionally, Washington sees this approach as serving Israel, as it maintains pressure on Iran to limit its missile development and nuclear program, and weakens its support for allies like the Revolutionary Guard and Hezbollah. Concerning Gaza, coordination between Washington and Jerusalem continues regarding a plan to establish an experimental residential neighborhood and a multinational force camp, aimed at separating Hamas from Israel and disarming it. However, Israeli disagreements persist over implementing this plan, especially regarding disarmament of Hamas before any Israeli withdrawal from the Strip. It is expected that key issues such as Iran, Gaza, and Lebanon will remain inactive politically and militarily in the near future until the electoral deadlines are met, and Washington and Tel Aviv reevaluate their positions.
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