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Security estimates indicate a decrease in the likelihood of immediate military escalation with Iran in the near future, as reliance on economic and political pressure continues as the primary means to deter tensions between the two sides. This comes after a series of American-Israeli meetings and coincides with the Trump administration imposing the strictest set of sanctions in its history, aimed at buying time and increasing pressure on Tehran, especially with the upcoming November Congressional elections. Although the probability of a sudden attack has diminished, Israel is preparing for a potential confrontation by strengthening intelligence capabilities and military readiness, while Iran threatens to use advanced weapons if a new war erupts. This reflects a form of "armed calm" that sets the stage for eventual confrontation in the long term.
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