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Expectations rule out the outbreak of a direct military confrontation between Israel and Turkey, despite the escalating tensions between the two countries and their differing regional positions. Oded Eilam stated that the likelihood of war is very low at the moment, as neither side desires escalation. They rely on long-term strategies to expand Turkey's influence in the region without resorting to full-scale military conflict. Although Turkey possesses a strong navy, both parties are keen to avoid military escalation, and it is believed that the current tension will mostly remain within the realm of political competition and indirect moves. It is expected that the balance will persist and that there will be a refusal to slide into direct war.
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