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Israeli sources reveal an early trend in Israeli policy toward Syria, which involves the possibility of shifting from a strategy of containment and limiting Turkish influence to phased security understandings with Damascus, supported by American and international guarantees. This shift follows Israel’s attack on the Abu al-Zouhour base in Syria and is part of efforts to reduce tension with both Damascus and Ankara, as security communications between Israel and Syria are resumed. The report indicates a division within the Israeli security establishment regarding the best approach, with some factions leaning toward an interim agreement that includes specific security arrangements instead of a comprehensive settlement. This approach relies on reducing the Israeli military presence within Syrian territory and securing international guarantees, aiming to de-escalate tensions, lessen the burden on the Syrian border, and promote regional stability. Additionally, Israeli calculations towards Turkey are evolving; Ankara is increasingly viewed as part of a diplomatic balancing act rather than a direct threat. This perspective enhances the prospects for security cooperation with Damascus and helps ease military escalation along Israel’s borders.
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