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Factors determining US and Iran outcome
The article discusses the concept of strategic illusions in warfare, which occurs when parties confuse tactical and operational successes with true political victory. History, including the wars in Vietnam and Afghanistan, shows that achieving military victories does not guarantee the achievement of political objectives, as success is evaluated differently by each side. For example, in the current Iran-U.S. conflict, U.S. forces may achieve tactical and operational accomplishments, but the Iranian regime focuses on its survival and influence, indicating that military success does not necessarily translate into political success. In summary, understanding the outcomes of war requires assessing the political goals of each party and not relying solely on military gains, because the ultimate success is measured by political results that alter the behavior of the other side.
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