سواليف
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The writer, Abdel Bari Atwan, discusses the future of the American-Israeli war against Iran. He points to a shift in the approach from decisive military escalation to a prolonged and costly confrontation that relies more heavily on economic sanctions, especially given the ongoing Iranian capabilities that make achieving military goals difficult. He explains that military escalation may give way to economic pressures, particularly as the crisis around the Strait of Hormuz intensifies and impacts global energy supplies. This increases the complexity of prolonging the war and doubles its costs on the global economy. Western analyses have also indicated that the conflict has become a protracted war of attrition with rising costs, and that achieving a clear victory is increasingly difficult. The major challenge for American presidents—especially as elections approach—is how much their country can endure the ongoing costs of the war. The article confirms that a possible end could be a political settlement after mutual exhaustion, while still keeping open the possibility of future military escalation.
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