Washington and Tehran anticipate three possible outcomes
The article explores the possible scenarios for developments in the Middle East, with a focus on escalating tensions between the United States and Iran. It indicates that the Trump administration relies on multiple tools in its war against Iran, including recently announced maximum sanctions, while continuing the U.S. military buildup near Iran's borders. The piece predicts that the likelihood of reaching a comprehensive deal or political settlement remains far from the current escalation. American tendencies toward dialogue with various forces and non-political opponents, such as Hamas, are highlighted, alongside a deterioration in the Palestinian Authority’s position and efforts to revive negotiation channels with Hezbollah. At the same time, factors for escalation remain present, including the potential outbreak of clashes or explosions within the region or inside Iran, driven by worsening economic conditions and popular unrest. The article emphasizes that surprises—whether igniting a direct war or triggering internal upheaval—remain possible, with increasing concern in Tel Aviv and the region about further escalation. The scenarios range between de-escalation and unexpected war.
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