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Pre-October 7 Earthquake and Israeli Assessments

Pre-October 7 Earthquake and Israeli Assessments

An investigation published in the Israeli newspaper "Haaretz" revealed the existence of direct and semi-direct secret channels between Israel and Hamas leadership, led by Yihya Sinwar, prior to the bloody attack that occurred on October 7, 2023. The investigation indicated that these channels were used to discuss long-term understandings related to issues such as prisoner exchanges, easing the blockade, and reconstructing Gaza. It also noted that these discussions were conducted with the knowledge and approval of Netanyahu and were part of behind-the-scenes efforts to reduce tension and serve mutual interests. The investigation further disclosed that warnings and predictive images reached the political level, including a warning from Sinwar about the occurrence of an "earthquake," as well as warnings from the UAE and Egypt. However, Israeli security assessments were not fully understood or were not taken seriously, leading to a lack of preventive action. According to sources, Netanyahu and security officials were not informed of these important warnings, raising questions about the responsibility for the decision not to take preventive measures—especially given the ongoing negotiations and communication with Hamas prior to the attack. At the same time, Netanyahu's office categorically denied the accuracy of "Haaretz"’s report regarding any warning calls with the UAE, confirming that the Prime Minister did not receive or review such warnings. Concurrently, these revelations have intensified political controversy in Israel, with the opposition camp calling for an independent official investigation to determine the extent of Netanyahu’s and the security agencies’ knowledge and cooperation before the catastrophe, amid accusations of failure and negligence in assessing prior information and warnings.

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