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The article reveals an underground channel that lasted about a year and a half between Hamas and Israel, focused on negotiations to exchange prisoners before developing into a missile operation. According to the former Palestinian minister Sufyan Abu Zaida, Yahya Sinwar, the leader of Hamas in Gaza, warned Israel of a potential "earthquake" if the negotiations continued in this manner. This warning reached Israeli security agencies but did not lead to sufficient preparatory measures before the October 7, 2023 attack. Verifying the message and its significance raises questions about how it was interpreted within security institutions, and why appropriate reactive actions were not taken despite the warning. The investigation also highlights the repeated failure of Israeli intelligence to accurately assess threats, despite receiving sensitive information and clear warnings.
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