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British historian Simon Sebag Montefiore has concluded that crises and conflicts in various regions such as Ukraine, Iran, the Caucasus, the Middle East, South Asia, the Red Sea, and the African coast are increasingly overlapping and converging, potentially threatening the outbreak of a world war. South Asia is considered the most dangerous area due to the presence of nuclear powers India and Pakistan, which have fought five wars since 1947, with the possibility that tensions could escalate beyond the region. Tensions are also rising with new alliances, such as the Mecca Agreement between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, as well as a Greek-Israeli deal. Additionally, escalating developments in the Horn of Africa and Iran further increase the likelihood of regional crises spreading and the overall danger intensifying.
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