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Polls indicate that the Likud Party, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, has lost about one-third of its electoral strength, dropping from 32 seats to around 20 seats, with a possibility of rising to 22 seats before the elections scheduled for October 27. The outcome of the elections depends on voter turnout and whether parties cross the electoral threshold, as indicators suggest increased support for the Change Alliance and a decline in Likud's backing, amid concerns about vote splitting and some parties failing to surpass the threshold. Furthermore, the victory of either bloc hinges on voter participation and effective distribution of votes, with polling results on the prime ministership race varying between Netanyahu and Yair Lapid, in addition to the impact of recent attacks and internal disagreements on voter sentiment and government formation prospects.
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