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The U.S. financial markets are closely awaiting the Federal Reserve's meeting and the release of inflation data, with divergent expectations regarding the path of interest rates. Estimates suggest a 16% chance of a rate hike in October, compared to a 92% likelihood in December, with attention also on personal consumption expenditure data, which the central bank relies on to assess inflation and maintain the 2% target. In Europe, the International Monetary Fund anticipates that the European Central Bank will raise interest rates by at least 25 basis points before the end of the year, given ongoing inflation pressures. Currently, markets are focused on how monetary policy decisions will impact investment costs and financial markets.
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