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In its bulletin issued on October 31, 2026, the Arab Climate Center forecast unsettled weather and increased rainfall during November, with a possibility of periods of instability, thunderstorms, and locally heavy rain. In the Levant, Egypt, Iraq, and northern Saudi Arabia, temperatures are expected to be below average and total rainfall above average, with the possibility of cold-air surges and frost in some areas toward the end of the month. The chances of snow, however, remain low. In the Maghreb, temperatures and rainfall totals are expected to be broadly around average, though conditions may vary by location, with locally heavy precipitation and the possibility of a late-month drop in temperatures. The report attributed signs of increased activity to climatic and atmospheric factors, including the development of El Niño, warm Mediterranean waters, and anticipated changes in the Siberian High. It stressed that long-range forecasts are subject to updates.
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