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The Trump administration is seeking to weaken Iran through sustained economic pressure and a naval blockade, rather than launching an all-out war or making diplomatic concessions. Its aim is to limit Tehran’s ability to rebuild its arsenal and fund its allies. This comes amid divisions between Israel, which is pressing for military strikes, and Gulf states, which fear a regional escalation, while Qatar is trying to keep the door open to mediation. The pressure is mounting as tensions rise in the Strait of Hormuz and Iran threatens to retaliate, while Washington is betting that economic attrition will shift Tehran’s negotiating position.
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