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Friday, November 13, 2026, brought renewed attention to a study published by three American researchers in 1960. Using a mathematical equation to project the acceleration of population growth, the study speculated that the world’s population would reach an unbounded level on that date. But the prediction did not come true: growth slowed as birth rates declined. After peaking at around 2.3% in 1963, population growth fell, and birth rates dropped to less than half their 1960 levels. Current estimates put the world’s population at about 8.2 billion, with a possible peak of roughly 10.3 billion in the mid-2080s. The date, then, is not a deadline for the end of the world or the extinction of humanity.
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