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The mandate of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) ends on December 31, 2026, after nearly 48 years of deployment in the south, amid uncertainty over what will replace it and what security arrangements will follow. Researchers warn that Lebanon is not ready to assume full security responsibility, particularly while Israel continues to occupy five border points. They caution that the force’s departure could leave a vacuum in monitoring violations, indirect coordination and deconfliction. No alternative international arrangement has yet emerged to prevent conditions from deteriorating or confrontation in the region from escalating.
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