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Goldman lowers US recession risk to 15%
Goldman Sachs has reduced the likelihood of a recession in the United States in the coming months to 15%, down from previous estimates of 20%. This comes after improvements in the labor market and a decrease in risks, with economic growth expectations rising to 2% in the second half of the year, supported by falling fuel prices and the economy benefiting from a surge in artificial intelligence. However, the bank cautioned that growth will remain moderate, with expectations of declining inflation and no imminent plans by the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.
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