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Analyses by economist Mohamed El-Erian indicate that the global economy is facing a pivotal phase characterized by a sharp rise in borrowing costs and increased pressure on bond markets, along with a diminishing role of traditional buyers and some debtor-exporter countries transitioning into debtors. The challenges include rising interest rates, the deterioration of the Japanese yen, and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, all of which heighten risks to the markets. He also emphasizes that inflation remains steady despite expectations of interest rate hikes, and that pressures on oil prices could lead to increases reaching up to $120 per barrel. His recommendation is to invest in short-term bonds and to reduce risk exposure.
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