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الاقتصادية
Federal updates revive 2015 market uncertainty
The article discusses the upcoming decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve regarding the expected interest rate announcement. Currently, the market is facing unprecedented uncertainty since the global financial crisis, with almost equal probabilities of rate hold or hike. Historically, markets typically relied on clear guidance before meetings, but this time, the reliance on data analysis rather than pre-committed signals has diminished the predictive value of market indicators, making the economic data itself more influential. Members' opinions vary regarding the likelihood of a rate increase, as high inflation and excess demand are seen as supporting a hike, while slowing inflation and growth suggest a possible pause. Today’s decision serves as a test for the new communication system, as the market is no longer able to clearly anticipate the Fed’s moves. This has increased market volatility and added more uncertainty about the future direction of monetary policy.
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