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Mid-Revolution Conflict

Mid-Revolution Conflict

The article discussses the current crisis in Iran, driven by its deteriorating economy and internal and external challenges, especially after the U.S. sanctions on its ports and a significant decline in its oil exports. Oil exports have fallen to zero in May compared to two million before the war, and their value has dropped to its lowest level since the 1979 revolution. The article also focuses on the political and transitional situation of the Iranian regime, which faces multiple challenges, including the assassination of the former Supreme Leader and the lack of legitimacy of Ebrahim Raisi Khamenei's son, as well as tensions with the United States and Israel. Iran is seeking a diplomatic exit through negotiations with mediators like Oman, avoiding direct talks with Washington in an attempt to save face and reduce pressures. Meanwhile, the United States warns of a possible military escalation and aims to weaken Iran's influence in the region.

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