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الاقتصادية
Bank of America warns on interest rate hikes
Experts at Bank of America predict that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise the main interest rate to exceed 5%, with expectations of two additional hikes during 2026. Despite this, officials' statements indicate that rate increases will not stop until financial conditions become more restrictive. The forecasts suggest that the real interest rate could reach a range between 4.5% and 4.75%, with short-term borrowing costs potentially returning to levels around 5.5% during the previous rate hike cycle in 2022-2023. Additionally, the 10-year Treasury bond yield is expected to reach 5% by the end of this year. Analyses emphasize that inflation remains the greatest risk to monetary policy, and that interest rates should surpass 5% according to economic models. It is also indicated that the yield curve is likely to continue flattening and reaching a plateau.
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