Hybrid Conflicts in the Polycrisis Era
The article discusses the nature of hybrid warfare, which is characterized by the use of unconventional and synchronized tools to threaten nations in an unclear manner. This includes cyberattacks, disruptions to supply chains, and targeting infrastructure, with the aim of creating confusion and competing for strategic influence. It explains that the current phase is marked by a complex environment of interconnected crises (Polycrisis), where multiple crises—such as economic downturns, energy disruptions, disinformation campaigns, and cyberattacks—interact with each other, expanding the scope of threats and making it difficult to identify the source and severity of the danger directly. The article highlights NATO's efforts, through the "Baltic Sentry" operation, to enhance protection and joint operational capabilities, relying on artificial intelligence to improve early analysis and rapid response. This aims to achieve the "decision advantage," based on the ability to understand the context and act before it's too late. The article also emphasizes the need to develop security priorities that include multi-sectoral early warning systems, analysis of complex patterns, integration of artificial intelligence, crisis simulation exercises, and unified cross-sectoral response mechanisms. These measures are essential to detect hybrid threats quickly and act swiftly and coherently to counter them before they escalate.
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