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Mohamed El-Erian noted that global markets are showing significant divergence. U.S. stocks have reached record levels, supported by the performance of technology and artificial intelligence companies, while the bond market is facing pressure due to inflation fears, rising energy prices, and increasing interest rates. He emphasized that the rise in bond yields reflects investors’ concerns about sustained increases in financing costs, with the U.S. federal deficit nearing 6% of GDP, which raises the risks associated with public debt. He also warned that continued oil price increases could heighten inflation and influence central banks’ decisions to cut interest rates. Meanwhile, European bond market movements appear cautious regarding fiscal situations and borrowing risks within the region. American inflation data remains crucial for Federal Reserve policy expectations.
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