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IMF revises 2026 global growth forecast
The International Monetary Fund has raised its forecast for global economic growth in 2026 to 3.1%, up from the previous estimate of 3%. This increase is attributed to a rise in global demand driven by investments related to artificial intelligence, which have helped mitigate the effects of rising energy prices. However, the fund warned that the economy's resilience is waning, as global oil reserves have decreased by approximately 2.7 million barrels per day, potentially leading to sharp movements in energy prices and threatening the economic momentum gained from AI investments. The forecasts project that declining energy supplies and fiscal pressures will constrain growth, with public debt in advanced economies reaching 115% of GDP by 2031. The ongoing consequences of war and geopolitical tensions continue to impact the performance of global economies, particularly in the Eurozone, China, and India.
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