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الاقتصادية
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2026-10-13T14:09:04.682Z

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Global economy strains amid conflict

Global economy strains amid conflict

The International Monetary Fund expects global economic growth to decrease from 3.5% in 2025 to 3.1% in 2026, before rising again to 3.4% in 2027. The forecast highlights varying opportunities among countries and sectors due to factors such as investment in artificial intelligence and digital infrastructure, contrasted with the impacts of the war in the Middle East and rising energy costs. The projections also anticipate global inflation increasing from 4.1% in 2025 to 4.7% in 2026, driven by energy shocks, with oil prices reaching approximately $95.74 per barrel in 2026. Risks are mounting, including ongoing war, rising public debt, and a slowdown in gains from artificial intelligence, all of which could threaten economic recovery—particularly in the Middle East, where a contraction of about 2% is expected in 2026 before a strong rebound in 2027.

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