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Global markets face inflation and earnings pressures
The article discusses economic forecasts and global markets for a specific week, with a focus on upcoming data on U.S. inflation and the earnings results of major companies in the third quarter. It is expected that inflation in the United States will rise to around 3.7% in September, driven by energy prices, while core inflation is projected to be at 2.5%. These figures will influence the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates, with a high likelihood (about 80%) that rates will remain unchanged at their current level in October. However, an unexpectedly higher reading could lead to increased bond yields and a decline in high-risk stocks. Investors are also monitoring bond market performance and the dollar, with the dollar remaining strong and the euro weakening, alongside gold recovering to around $4,200. Major U.S. bank earnings, such as those from J.P. Morgan and Citigroup, are of significant importance, as well as the performance of technology companies and their ability to grow in a more expensive funding environment.
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