الاقتصادية
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Goldman Sachs raised its Brent crude forecast to $105 a barrel in December, up from a previous estimate of $90, and to an average of $88 in 2027—10% above its earlier forecast—citing the risk of supply disruptions. The bank’s analysts believe geopolitical risks, including the possibility of renewed confrontation between the United States and Iran, attacks on shipping and infrastructure, and Russia’s war against Ukraine, could keep the risk premium elevated. Their base-case scenario includes the possibility that 1 million barrels a day of global supply will be disrupted in 2027. Brent rose 14% in October to a six-month high, while other banks also raised their year-end forecasts to $105 a barrel.
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