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October 2026 recorded the highest global average temperature ever measured for that month, at 15.35°C—1.75°C above pre-industrial levels and surpassing the previous October record, set in 2023. It was the third consecutive month in which global temperatures exceeded the 1.5°C threshold. The Copernicus report said 2026 was likely to be the second-hottest year on record, with a probability of more than 99% that its average temperature would exceed that threshold. Average sea-surface temperatures outside the polar regions also reached an October record of 20.95°C. The report forecast that El Niño would peak in December 2026 and continue through February 2027.
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