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Inflation Seen Rising
Economists expect the U.S. Consumer Price Index to rise 0.3% in October, down from 0.6% in September, largely due to falling gasoline prices. Annual inflation is estimated at around 3.9%, though October 2025 data are unavailable for comparison. Core inflation is expected to rise 0.2% month over month and 2.7% year over year. Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, strengthening expectations of a rate hike in December; markets have priced in roughly an 85% chance of one.
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