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A report warns that Iran may deliberately close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait if tensions in the Middle East escalate, potentially limiting global oil supplies that rely on this vital passage connecting the Red Sea with the Gulf of Aden and the Arabian Sea. Oil exports through the strait are estimated to reach around 7.2 million barrels per day in April, compared to 3.9 million barrels in February before the recent escalation, highlighting the significance of this crucial trade route in meeting Asian demand and alleviating the impact of a potential closing of the Strait of Hormuz. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard has threatened to close the strait if Israeli strikes in Gaza and Lebanon continue, leading to a significant spike in oil prices before they backed down following the announcement of a ceasefire.
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