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The International Energy Agency warns that the global oil market could face one of the biggest supply shocks in recent years due to turmoil in the Middle East and disruptions to Gulf exports, with projections of a shortfall of up to 5.7 million barrels per day in 2026 if current flows persist. Concerns center around the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea amid security unrest, high shipping and insurance costs, as Saudi Arabia's production hit its lowest level in 30 years in August, around 6 million barrels per day. The crisis is causing oil prices to rise, with expected increases in economic costs and global inflation, bringing energy issues back into the international political and economic spotlight.
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