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عكس السير
Scientists back in 1960 predicted world ending in 2026
The scientific study published in 1960 discussed its expectation that the world's population would reach an infinite point in the year 2026, as a result of unexpectedly rapid population growth. The researchers relied on mathematical models based on historical data to forecast that, at that point—what they called the "population doomsday"—the number of people would exceed 179 billion, after which the equation would mathematically collapse. However, the rate of population growth slowed sharply since the 1960s, and by 2024, the population had reached about 8.2 billion, which is far less than the number predicted by the model if growth had continued at the same pace. Birth rates have fallen below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman in more than half of the world's countries. It is expected that the population will peak at around 10.3 billion in the mid-1980s before gradually declining. This illustrates that long-term forecasts rely on assumptions that did not materialize, and that population growth has not been unlimitedly rapid as the original study predicted.
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