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The International Monetary Fund noted that energy and commodity prices have begun to decline following an agreement between the United States and Iran to cease hostilities and open the Strait of Hormuz. However, it emphasized that restoring prices and trade flows in the Gulf region will take some time. It also indicated that the global economy shifted in May from a more optimistic scenario, which assumed a quick resolution of the conflict, to an opposite scenario with growth of 2.5% in 2026. Oil prices have remained above $100 per barrel since the closure of the Strait of Hormuz in May.
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