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The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) expects Tunisia's economic growth to slow from 2.5% in 2025 to 2.2% in 2026, with the same rate projected for 2027. The report notes that rising food prices and inflationary pressures are bringing challenges back to the forefront, while fiscal and trade balances remain fragile. A deficit of 6% is anticipated for 2026, along with foreign currency reserves covering approximately three and a half months of imports. The report also warns of the impact regional tensions could have on growth, especially regarding the ongoing war in the Middle East and rising energy prices, which might hinder investments and tourism activity.
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