Israeli elections will influence Gaza ceasefire
The article discusses the future of calm in the Gaza Strip and the impact of three key factors on it: the election of Khaleel Haya as the head of Hamas's Political Bureau, the upcoming Israeli elections and their effect on government policies, and the current US stance which is focused on the war with Iran and has diminished its role in the Gaza issue. Although Haya’s election is considered an important development, its influence is expected to remain limited and not lead to radical changes in Hamas’s positions or the negotiation process, especially given ongoing security concerns, field challenges, and international pressures. The study highlights that the prospects for a truce are heavily influenced by the internal political developments within Israel, particularly if Netanyahu remains in power or if efforts to form a new government continue, alongside persistent US obstacles and field complexities, where Israeli policies and security requirements continue to dominate the scene.
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