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Bicent's 4B promise fails to reassure bonds

Bicent's 4B promise fails to reassure bonds

The article discusses the failure of the U.S. Treasury Department's plan to calm the bond market through expanded long-term repurchase operations, which were announced in August and scheduled to begin in September. While the announcement initially caused a temporary dip in yields by as much as 10 basis points and a decline in the dollar's value, these effects did not last. The market quickly rebounded, with yields returning to pre-announcement levels. This resurgence is attributed to rising inflation expectations, as anticipated inflation indicators increased from 2.27% to more than 2.34%. The difficulty is further related to heightened fiscal deficits, with the country's debt surpassing $40 trillion, along with increased bond issuance and diminishing confidence in the effectiveness of policy tools to control yields—especially as government borrowing continues and tech companies finance large-scale projects. Consequently, expectations remain that yields will continue to climb, as investors worry about sustained long-term inflationary pressures.

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