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Engineer Ofer Winter has entered the Israeli political scene, leading to a significant shift in the power map within the Israeli right. Polls indicate that his new party is projected to win around 4 seats even before fully announcing its list and platform. Analysis shows that 60% of Winter's supporters come from ruling coalition parties, especially Likud, Smotrich, and Ben-Gvir, while about 30% of his votes originate from Likud, 15% from the Religious Zionism Party, and 15% from the Jewish Power. This distribution threatens to split the votes within the right-wing camp and hampers Netanyahu's efforts to unify parties ahead of the elections. Netanyahu aims to end vote fragmentation through alliances, while Winter refuses to join Likud. It is believed that his disagreements may be part of electoral calculations, and that political rapprochement might open the door to cooperation after the elections.
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