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Climate overshoot looms
An analysis by Climate Action Tracker concluded that current policies put the world on track for average warming of about 2.7°C by the end of the century, compared with pre-industrial levels—up from a previous estimate of 2.6°C. This means overshooting the agreed 1.5°C limit, which is expected to happen within a few years, raising the prospect of worsening storms, droughts and heat, as well as climate risks that may be difficult to contain. Even if all climate pledges are fulfilled, warming would remain at 1.9°C. Despite the slow pace of emissions cuts, there are positive signs: investment in clean energy has grown to twice the level of investment in fossil fuels, electric vehicles are becoming more widespread, and deforestation in the Amazon is declining. The UN secretary-general urged governments to act quickly to phase out fossil fuels.
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