82 Days
Source:
المشهد
Sources: Iraq arms embargo under threat
Tensions are escalating between Iran and Israel, with the Iranian Revolutionary Guard launching ballistic missiles toward Israel following an airstrike that targeted Beirut and resulted in civilian casualties and injuries. In Iraq, the government is aiming to pass a plan to restrict weapons to state control, while armed factions—particularly Iraqi Hezbollah and Kataib Nujaba—threaten to attack U.S. bases if Washington intervenes, although most factions have retracted their direct support for the government. The upcoming period is expected to see limited escalation, amid Iranian warnings of a major battle that could begin in July, amidst divisions within the Coordination Framework and a lack of internal support from some factions for a potential war.
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