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The article discusses the developments of the Yemeni war, particularly the recent escalation on the western coast, where the Houthi movement has made significant territorial advances using coordinated plans that include mobilizing forces, striking supply lines, and deploying missiles and drones. The analyst warns that Houthi control over key areas near the Bab al-Mandab Strait threatens international navigation and adds regional complexities, especially for involved parties such as Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and the United States. At the same time, Saudi Arabia possesses substantial military capabilities, but the challenge lies in balancing escalation with maintaining a clear political objective, avoiding a prolonged war of attrition, and preventing a broader regional escalation with Iran. The article proposes three pathways for Saudi Arabia: first, supporting a counteroffensive in Yemen; second, escalating militarily if the Houthis cross red lines; and third, opening dialogue channels to halt the escalation. It recommends combining the first and third options to reinforce deterrence while keeping the possibility for negotiations open.
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