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عدن تايم
Red Sea Tensions After Iran-US Deal
The article focuses on a geopolitical analysis of the Red Sea between 2026 and 2028, in the context of escalating tensions between Iran and the United States. It explains how Iran is following a "multi-layered umbrella" strategy to diversify its deterrence tools in the region, while the Trump administration is moving toward strengthening smart naval blockade and covert surveillance. The article also reviews the evolving roles of the Houthis as an independent regional actor, the balance of power with key countries such as Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates, as well as China's influence on vital areas in the Red Sea. It concludes with an analysis of the "cost of escalation" equation and the anticipated model for the emergence of recurrent security scenarios without full-scale war, amid competing regional and international interests and increasing fragility in trust between Iran and the United States.
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