Iran's conflict reshapes global energy and trade

Iran's war is reshaping the global energy system, as disruptions in oil and gas supplies have led to shifts in the balance of power between producers and consumers. The latter are seeking to reduce their dependence on specific sources and strengthen their energy security. Importing countries such as Japan and South Korea are moving toward alternatives like solar and wind energy, while investments in renewable sources—now cheaper and more efficient—are on the rise. Conversely, Russia is benefiting from these disruptions to increase its profits, and China is emerging as a major winner by expanding its renewable energy networks and enhancing its global influence. Meanwhile, the United States is weakening in the race for clean energy leadership. Global trade risks remain, especially through the Strait of Hormuz, with waning confidence in Washington’s ability to guarantee freedom of navigation. It is anticipated that ongoing changes will lead to slower economic growth, higher inflation, and significant pressure on national budgets worldwide.

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