Weekly Market Shift from Oil to Fed

Last week, significant shifts occurred in the financial markets, as oil prices plummeted sharply following the oil shock related to the war with Iran. This contributed to lower borrowing costs and improved economic conditions in the United States, especially for low-income groups. Meanwhile, Wall Street was influenced by technical factors and portfolio rebalancing, with a continued disconnect between market movements and the actual economic reality. Signs of improved American household sentiment emerged despite lingering low confidence levels. At the same time, debates persist regarding the inflation trajectory and Federal Reserve policies, amid divisions between expectations of rate hikes and views suggesting that inflation has already peaked. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remain ongoing, along with forecasts of upcoming U.S. employment data next week.

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