Fed signals on future interest rates

The President of the New York Federal Reserve, John Williams, forecasts that U.S. inflation will enter a downward trend during the second half of 2026, driven by the slowing of energy prices and the diminishing impact of customs duties. He added that inflation is expected to be under control by 2028 at around 2%, with close monitoring of core data. Williams affirmed that the current monetary policy, which is approaching a interest rate range of 3.50% to 3.75%, is suitable for achieving price stability. However, he indicated that the Federal Reserve is prepared to raise rates again if the desired reduction in inflation is not achieved, citing ongoing risks from persistent price pressures or shocks from energy markets and the Middle East. Williams anticipates that inflation results will show signs of decline in 2026 and continues to monitor the impact of the AI spending boom and energy markets on the economy.

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