UBS forecasts US rate hikes until 2027

UBS Bank expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates until March 2027, with a likely third increase in March 2027 after inflation in September rose more than expected, with the price index increasing by 0.65% monthly and 3.7% annually. The rise in energy prices, especially gasoline and airfare, played a key role in accelerating inflation. The bank anticipates that rate hikes will continue throughout 2026, with a pause until late 2027, contrasting with market expectations of five increases. These projections reflect the Fed’s ongoing policy to combat inflation amid global supply disruptions and geopolitical conflicts affecting energy and commodity markets.

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