Bridgewater Founder Warns of U.S. Debt Risk

Billionaire Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, warned that the U.S. Treasury bond market could face significant pressure over the next three years, especially if China and Japan reduce their roles as major lenders to the United States. He explained that reliance on foreign capital accounts for about one-third of U.S. debt, and geopolitical tensions are increasing, which diminishes China's appetite for accumulating U.S. debt and prompts Japan to return its funds to focus on domestic needs. Dalio also pointed out that the rise in U.S. bond yields to over 5.3 percent—its highest level since 2002—reflects falling bond prices and increasing financial risks, as investors seek higher returns in response to weaker demand for U.S. debt. He warned that a decline in holdings of U.S. Treasuries by China and Japan could exacerbate challenges in financing American debt, potentially leading to further increases in borrowing costs. Additionally, Dalio highlighted that major companies in artificial intelligence are beginning to face funding pressures, relying more on borrowing rather than equity investments, which could heighten potential economic risks.

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