Tehran bets on Trump's inaction
Iran is betting that the boredom of U.S. President Donald Trump will drive the United States to accept their control over the Strait of Hormuz, under the pretext that timing works in their favor through military and economic pressure. Tehran believes that closing the strait harms U.S. interests and increases fuel and commodity prices, especially with the U.S. midterm elections approaching. However, it warns that escalation could be costly for them too, as they continue to threaten targeting passing ships without permission and bolster their military capabilities in the region. Despite this, their strategy carries significant internal economic risks and the potential for increased unrest. Iran has previously called for the lifting of sanctions and the removal of the blockade on its ports, but it insists that the strait will only be reopened after Washington corrects its behavior and a permanent end to the conflict is achieved.
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